By KYIV. May 12 (Interfax) – The supply of liquefied natural gas to the European market is declining owing to low prices.
The downward trend in European prices between heating season and air conditioning season is causing the owners of LNG consignments to redirect their cargo to other markets or wait in the roadstead at the terminals for prices to rise.
UKRAINIAN TRANSIT
The Gas Transport System Operator of Ukraine, or GTSOU, has accepted a booking from Gazprom Friday to transport 40.7 million cubic meters of gas through the country, and the figure was 40.5 yesterday, data from the GTSOU show.
Capacity was requested only through one of two entry points into Ukraine’s Gas Transport System, the Sudzha metering station. A request was not accepted through the Sokhranovka metering station.
“Gazprom is supplying Russian gas for transit through the territory of Ukraine at the volume confirmed by the Ukraine side via the Sudzha metering station at 40.7 mcm on May 12, with booking via the Sokhranovka metering station declined,” Gazprom spokesman Sergei Kupriyanov told reporters.
The GTSOU has declared a force majeure with respect to acceptance of gas for transit through Sokhranovka, claiming that it cannot control the Novopskov compressor station. The route through Sokhranovka had provided transit of more than 30 mcm of gas per day.
Gazprom believes that there are no grounds for the force majeure or obstacles to continuing operations as before.
EUROPEAN MARKET
The day-ahead contract for today at the Dutch TTF gas hub in the Netherlands closed at $389 per thousand cubic meters, with the spot price declining 3% on Thursday.
A split between LNG prices in Asia and those in Europe has noticeably returned. In Asia, the most expensive futures contract for May on the JKM Platts index is $398 per thousand cubic meters, and futures under the LNG North-West Europe Marker are $372 per thousand cubic meters.
Wind turbines provided an average of 17.4% of the region’s electricity needs on Tuesday and only 12.1% on Thursday, according to WindEurope.
EUROPEAN INVENTORIES
Europe continues the gas-injection season into underground gas storage (UGS) facilities. Current inventory levels in Europe’s UGS facilities are 62.48%, which is 19 percentage points above the average for the same date over the past five years, according to Gas Infrastructure Europe.
Inventories increased 0.21 percentage points during the gas day for May 10, with the pace markedly lagging the usual injection levels over the past five years. Nevertheless, reserves could reach the target level of 90% storage capacity by the end of September if injection continues at this pace throughout the summer.
Gazprom warns that, “Replenishing gas reserves in storage facilities could be a non-trivial task for European companies. This will be very difficult to do, given the politically motivated decisions aimed at refusing to import Russian pipeline gas. Competition for LNG will have a big effect on the volumes of gas available on the European market.”
European LNG terminals operated at an average capacity of 67% in April, and they have averaged 64% since the beginning of May.
The European market is becoming less attractive for LNG consignments because of declining prices
U.S. INVENTORIES
The state of gas in UGS facilities in the United States is of increasing importance for the global market, and the country is actively increasing gas exports.
Freeport LNG, the United States’ largest LNG plant, has reopened all three liquefaction lines, thereby reducing the excess gas on the U.S. market and boosting supplies of LNG to the global market.
The U.S. continues the season for injecting gas into UGS facilities. Inventories rose 2.2 billion cubic meters for the latest reporting week, which is 10% lower than the usual figure for this time of the year.
The current level of inventories is around 45%, which is 18 percentage points higher than the average figure for the past five years, according to the U.S. Energy Department’s Energy Information Administration.
